The Valley Futures Project
The North Valley

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Green Rush

You’ve heard of the Gold Rush: How thousands thought they could make their fortunes by coming to California to pick up nuggets off the ground. The Green Rush was different. Quality of life in the North Valley was the goal, not just wealth. But it’s tough to pick up quality when you’re rushing.


EPIPHANY

On Halloween morning 2007, Cynthia Monahan, a divorced 38-year old marketing consultant for Sungate Systems, crawled her forest green 2006 Volvo SUV onto the congested eastern span of the San Francisco Bay Bridge toll plaza. An illuminated sign above the roadway mockingly projected delays of up to 50 minutes. Fumbling for the five dollar toll to cross into San Francisco she mumbled to herself, “I have got to get out of this city.”

Cynthia wasn’t alone. Dozens of other drivers waiting and waiting in traffic that foggy morning were thinking the exact same thing: “Why am I here?”

Sure, they knew the problem: Rush, rush, rush. No time to smell the roses - or the coffee in their 20-ounce commuter mugs. But as the economic bust of the early years of the century lingered, lots of folks in the San Francisco Bay Area found themselves running in place, anxious about the next round of downsizing, and watching their nest eggs dwindle in a futile attempt to maintain the storied “Northern California Dream”.

It was time to get out.

The only question for Cynthia was whether it would be on her timetable or determined by the beancounters at corporate headquarters in Denver.


THE REAL NORTHERN CALIFORNIA CALLS

But where would she go? Seattle? Too rainy. New York? Just as crazy as San Francisco. Las Vegas? Ugh. She put the question aside. Besides, Cynthia’s younger brother Pete was coming up from Newport Beach that weekend on his way to a rafting trip on the Sacramento River. Maybe all she needed was a vacation.

And maybe the answer wasn’t one of those big cities at all.

Around that time, Central California’s North Valley started to looked like the answer for lots of people of different ages and different nationalities — retirees ready to cash out on their urban and suburban real estate in favor of a quieter life; young families in search of a place to work and grow; and immigrants unable to afford homes in other parts of state.

Business leaders and public officials in the North Valley were eager to roll out the welcome mat. But it wasn’t a red carpet; it was green. Its first appearance took the form of eco-tourism: River rafting, hikes in the forests, fishing in the rivers, canoeing on lakes with snow capped Mount Shasta looming in the distance.

During the first decade of the century, agriculture on the Valley floor suffered a series of shocks, from increased prices for water to increasing competition from other agricultural providers. Countries like Vietnam were able to vastly increase its share of the world rice market through its introduction of genetically modified strains that were both cheaper and better accepted than U.S. rice.

Meanwhile, the price of agricultural land in the North Valley was falling even as the pressure for industrial and residential development was increasing — a sure formula for shifting land use patterns, especially around large urban centers like Chico and Redding.

Cynthia’s sister-brother rafting trip was a success.

On the drive home that foggy night on Interstate 5, Cynthia listened to her brother prattle on and on about how cool it would be to just leave their congested cities, pull up stakes and open a bed and breakfast near the river. But it would be a different kind of resort. Not New England, frilly lace and crumpets. It would be adventure oriented and trendy, with rooms outfitted with high speed T6 wireless internet nodes and morning editions of the New York Times. In short, it would be geared to California’s urbanites. She shook her head, “Now that’s crazy.”

Pete returned to Southern California.


GREEN RUSH INTENSIFIES

Five months later, the San Andreas Fault rocked Southern California, just a handful of weeks after a devastating Christmas Eve terrorist assault had paralyzed Los Angeles International Airport. The rush was on in earnest. That evening, Cynthia’s voicemail had one message.

It was Pete. “I think this is a sign, Cindy. Let’s do it.”

And Pete wasn’t the only dreamer.

Commercial real estate developers with their ears to the ground had already picked up large tracts of former farmland for industrial parks and shopping centers. Residential real estate developers competed for prime acreage in the foothills.

Regional officials who had been trying for years to promote economic diversification and lure businesses to the area suddenly found eager takers for the tax incentives they continued to offer.

By the end of the first decade of the century, growth was the big issue in the North Valley. Some loved it, some hated it. But love it or hate it, it was happening, and the danger was that the newcomers would love the region to death. Eco-tourism had opened the door. Tourism had been increasing by double digits every year throughout the decade, and a lot of the tourists liked what they saw, enough that they wanted to come back and stay. Second homes were a hot business, especially around the wildlife preserves.

After two years of operation, Pete and Cynthia’s, SutterADVENTURE, had a 6-month waiting list.

Retirees were drawn to the attractive lifestyle and to the kinds of cultural amenities offered by Chico State. Small towns like Paradise benefited from big increases in their tax roles. Sales of $500,000 plus homes doubled each year between 2008 and 2014.

Even the less affluent communities in Colusa and Butte Counties felt the trickle down effects of the rush. The construction trades were way up. Employment in tourism and domestic work grew steadily. With agriculture in trouble throughout the North Valley, new jobs were created in services and homebuilding, attracting immigrants to the area. And with the US/Mexico borders as porous as ever, the number of Spanish speaking children in North Valley schools grew significantly.

Yet, a pro-growth/anti-growth tug of war sapped much of the energy that should have gone into planning. And although they were part of the rush, people like Pete and Cynthia were less civically involved and less engaged in long-term local issues than those who had lived in the North Valley for most of their lives.

Short-term interests prevailed as people thought they were too busy to get involved. Besides, who has time for planning commission meetings when your guests are clamoring for espresso?


LOVED TO DEATH

By 2020, Chico, Yuba City and Redding were surrounded by miles and miles of congested two-lane highways leading to dozens of stripmalls, huge movieplexes and auto malls ending only at clean looking suburbs boasting large houses on large lots. (“Homes starting in the low 400s” read a sign said outside Orland).

Because anti-growth forces had fought every proposal for over a decade, no adequate plans had been put in place for a proper transportation system, and air quality was the worse for it.

When civil unrest in Mexico sent hundreds of thousands north in 2021 and the southern counties of California refused to welcome them, many of the new immigrants made it all the way past Colusa County to Glenn, Butte and Tehama in search of a place to put down roots. Of course, they were too late for the Green Rush, and too poor to pick up the leftovers.

The income gap between the rich who had gotten in early and the poor who arrived late put a strain on the social fabric of the North Valley. The rich pulled their kids out of public schools that were bursting with children. The poor lacked good jobs. Crime increased as a function of the gap between the haves and have-nots. Gated communities contrasted with shacks and trailer parks.

By 2025, citizens of the North Valley were all too aware of the irony that one of the largest regional employers was a manufacturer of solar panels for clean energy production. Chico also boasted a renowned research institute on environmental quality and sustainable economic development. You see, the North Valley was making its contribution to clean air for the rest of the world but its residents increasingly choked their way to work.

Stuck in traffic on her way to pick up organic milk for tomorrow’s 20-person tour group, Cynthia peered through her bug splattered windshield and realized that the North Valley wasn’t different at all. “San Jose with more trees,” she sniffed.


ENDGAME

What happened to the North Valley, asked those who first came there in the Green Rush? How had the natural beauty that had drawn them there in the first place been lost? The Green Rush seemed like a good idea at the time. But, for lack of careful planning, its very popularity sowed the seeds of its own destruction.

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